However, while this result shows that a population of Bayesian agents interacting with chatbots will move no further forward in their beliefs, the experience of an individual agent will differ. That agent will be receiving repeated samples from the distribution p(d|h∗)p(d|h^{*}). By an analysis analogous to that given above for the p(d|true process)p(d|\text{true process}), the agent’s beliefs will become increasingly concentrated on h∗h^{*} as nn increases. Since h∗h^{*} was selected based only on the original piece of evidence d0d_{0}, this creates an illusion of confirmation without getting the agent any closer to the truth. As a result, the agent is likely to become increasingly confident in an incorrect hypotheses about the underlying process.
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Цены на нефть взлетели до максимума за полгода17:55，详情可参考爱思助手
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大模型想引用一段播客观点时，常常拿不到稳定的可引用文本片段。当然，即便拿到了，定位、对齐、验证也更难。于是它更愿意引用那种——天然就是文本、天然有章节、天然可切片的来源。YouTube恰好满足了。